ANALISIS ASPEK BIAS DALAM PENGAMBILAN KEPUTUSAN PEMBELIAN ASURANSI JIWA DI INDONESIA

  • Benny Kurniawan Magister Manajemen / Universitas Surabaya
Abstract Views: 291 times
PDF - FULL TEXT Downloads: 1854 times
Keywords: irrationality, life insurance, excessive optimism, representativeness bias, overconfidence, herding effect, availability, confirmation bias, framing effect

Abstract

ABSTRACT This research aims to learn about the irrationality in Indonesian society when making purchase decision related to life insurance. This irrationality caused by the multiple aspects such as excessive optimism, representativeness bias, overconfidence, herding effect, availability, confirmation bias and framing effects. This study will describe how the life insurance purchase decisions seen from seven aspects of bias. This research is positivism basic research in quantitative and descriptive. This research data obtained by survey method where this method using questionnaires. The questionnaires was prepared and distributed to the Indonesian directly (face to face with respondents) and also indirectly (using google form). The number of samples in this study were 160 people. The data that have been collected will be analyzed based on the characteristics of the respondent. After that, the data will be measured using a Likert scale and measurement results will be tested using the validity and reliability test. Then the data will be described using descriptive statistical tests. The results of this description will be used to address the main problem of this research. Aspects of representativeness bias is not used in this study because the respondent data reliability is very low. Descriptive statistical test results from this study indicate that only availability bias and framing effects contained in life insurance purchase decision. Aspects of availability bias is a dominant aspect in life insurance purchase decision. In addition, this study also indicate that there are differences between men and women. The aspect of availability bias and framing effect occurred on men, but for women only framing bias effect occured. This study also indicate that there are difference bias result in terms of different age of respondent and the duration of life insurance ownership. Overall, this study shows that there is no bias aspect in the life insurance purchase decision.

Keywords: irrationality, life insurance, excessive optimism, representativeness bias, overconfidence, herding effect, availability, confirmation bias, framing effect

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Ackert L.F., dan R. Deaves. 2010. Behavioral Finance: Psychology, Decision Making, and Markets. South-Western Cengage Learning: Mason, USA.

Alaydroes, L. 1996. Perbedaan Persepsi Terhadap Produk Asuransi Jiwa Ditinjau dari Keikutsertaan Sebagai Pemegang Polis Asuransi pada Asuransi Jiwa Bersama Bumiputera Rayon Madya Manyar Kertoajo pada Warga Usia Dewasa Awal di Kelurahan Ngnden Jangkungan Surabaya. Skripsi. Fakultas Psikologi Universitas Surabaya.

Bashir, T., A. Javed, U. Ali, U. I. Meer, dan M. M. Naseem. 2013. Empirical Testing of Heuristics Interrupting The Investor’s Rational Decision Making. European Scientific Journal, Vol 9 (28): 432-444.

Bathia, S. 2015. The Power of the Representativeness Heuristic. Working Paper. University of Warwick Coventry.

Baumann, S. 2012. How to Amend Biased Risk Perception in Enterprice Risk Management. Bachelor Thesis. Berlin School of Economics and Law.

Bogan, V. dan D. Just. 2009. What Drives Merger Decision Making Behavior? Don’t Seek, Don’t Find, and Don’t Change Your Mind. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Vol 72: 930-943.

Campbell, S.D. dan S.A. Sharpe. 2007. Anchoring Bias in Consensus Forecasts and its Effect on Market Prices. Working Paper. Federal Reserve Board.

Charness, G., E. Karni, dan D. Levin. 2010. On The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment: New Experimental Evidence Regarding Linda. Journal of Games and Economic Behavior, Vol 68: 551-556.

Chong, D. dan J. M. Druckman. 2007. Framing Theory. Annual Rev. Polit Science, Vol 10: 103-126.

Djojosoedarso, S. 1999. Prinsip-prinsip Manajemen Risiko dan Asuransi. Salemba Empat: Jakarta.

Friedman, M. dan L.J. Savage. 1948. The Utility Analysis of Choices Involving Risk. The Journal of Political Economy, Vol 56 (4): 279-304.

Hair, J. F., W. C. Black, B. J. Babin, dan R. E. Andersion. 2009. Multivariate Data Analysis (7th Edition). New Jersey: Prentice Hall.

Indriatno, I. dan R. Irwinsyah. 1998. Aplikasi Analisis Tabulasi Silang (Crosstab) dalam Perencanaan Wilayah dan Kota. Jurnal PWK, Vol 9 (2): 48-59.

Jonas, E., S.S. Hardt, D. Frey, dan N. Thelen. 2001. Confirmation Bias in Sequential Information Search After Preliminary Decisions: An Expansion of Dissonance Theoretical Research on Selective Exposure to Information. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, Vol 80 (4): 557-571.

Kertonegoro, S. 1991. Asuransi Jiwa dan Pensiun. Agung’s: Jakarta.

Kontan. 2015. Jumlah Nasabah Asuransi Jiwa Berkurang Hingga 39%. http://keuangan.kontan.co.id/news/jumlah-nasabah-asuransi-jiwaberkurang-hingga-39 (diunduh tanggal 23 Oktober 2015).

Kunreuther, H. dan M. Pauly. 2015. Insurance Decision-Making for Rare Events: The Role of Emotions. Working Paper. The Warton School, University of Pennsylvania.

Loewenstein, G., J.Y. Friedman, B. McGill, S.Ahmad, S. Linck, S. Sinkula, J. Beshears, J.J. Choi, J. Kolstad, D. Laibson, B.C. Madrian, J.A. List, K.G. Volpp. 2013. Consumers Misunderstanding of Health Insurance. Journal of Health Economics, Vol 32: 850-862.

Loewenstein, G. dan R.H. Thaler. 1989. Anomalies Intertemporal Choice. Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol 3 (4): 181-193.

Malin, M. 2015. Psychological Biases and Decision Making in Finance – Pitfalls to Avoid. MBA White Paper. Griffith University.

Mallick, L.R. 2015. Biases in Behavioural Finance: A Review of Literature. Journal of Advances in Business Management, Vol 1 (3): 100-104.

Marbun, L.R. 2010. Aspek Bias Psikologis dalam Pengambilan Keputusan Hutang Studi pada Industri Tempe dan Kripik Tempe di Desa Karangtengah Prandon Kabupaten Ngawi Provinsi Jawa Timur. Skripsi. Fakultas Ekonomika dam Bisnis Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana.

Neumann, J.V., dan O. Morgenstern. 1944. Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. Princeton University Press: Princeton, New Jersey.

Novia, A. dan M.R. Rita. 2014. Aspek Bias Dalam Pengambilan Keputusan Pembelian Produk Asuransi Jiwa. Skripsi. Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana.

Nofsinger, J.R. 2005. The Psychology of Investing, 2 nd ed. Pearson Prentice Hall: New Jersey.

Onsomu, Z.N. 2014. The Impact of Behavioral Biases on Investor Decisions in Kenya: Male Vs Female. International Journal of Research in Humanities, Arts and Literature, Vol 2 (6): 87-92.

Puri, M. dan D.T. Robinson. 2007. Optimism and Economic Choice. Journal of Financial Economic, Vol 86: 71-99.

Qadri, S.S. dan M. Shabbir. 2014. An Empirical Study of Overconfidence and Illusion of Control Biases, Impact on Investor’s Decision Making: An Evidence from ISE. European Journal of Business and Management, Vol 6 (14): 38-45.

Rabin, M. dan J.L. Schrag. 1999. First Impressions Matter: A Model of Confirmatory Bias. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol 1: 37-82.

Riddel, M. dan D. Hales. 2013. Risk Misperceptions, Advantageous, and Demand for Cancer Insurance. Working Paper. University of Nevada.

Salim, A.A. 1989. Dasar-Dasar Asuransi (Principles of Insurance). CV Rajawali: Jakarta.

Sekaran U., dan R. Bougie. 2014. Research Methods for Business: A Skill Building Approach, 6th ed. John Wiley & Sons: Chichester, UK.

Shefrin, H. 2007. Behavioral Corporate Finance: Decisions that Create Value. McGrwall-Hill/Irwin: New York.

Soekarto. 1987. Materi Pokok Dasar-Dasar Asuransi Modul 1-3. Karunia: Jakarta.

Stroe, M.A. 2014. Insurances and Consumer Perception in The Romanian Insurance Market. Procedia Economics and Finance, Vol 15: 1717-1723.

Sugiyono. 2006. Statistika untuk Peneltian. Alfabeta: Bandung.

Suharnan. 2005. Psikologi Kognitif Edisi Revisi. Srikandi: Surabaya.

Tversky A., dan D. Kahneman. 1981. The Framing of Decisions and The Psychology of Choice. Science, Vol 211 (4481): 453–458.

Tversky A., dan D. Kahneman. 1983. Extensional Versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment. Psychological Review, Vol 90 (4): 293-315.

Van Acker, J. dan W. Langenhoff. 2008. Analysis and Implications of The Consumer Decision Process for Choosing a Health Insurance. Bachelor Thesis. Erasmus School of Economics.

Veeraraghavan, K., dan M. Anbalgan. 2011. Heuristic Behavior on The Investors. International Journal of Enterprise Innovation Management Studies, Vol 2 (2): 142-149.

Yudkowsky, E. 2008. Cognitive Biases Potentially Affecting Judgment of Global Risks. Oxford University Press: New York.
Published
2017-09-01